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2024-12-14 12:39:57

For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.Emotionally, there are 98 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 262 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit stocks have finally been suppressed under 100, but the daily limit stocks are almost meaningless. Simply speaking, the market restructuring structure is not over yet, and those who like to play the relay have not felt the pain. It is necessary to squeeze these funds out of the junk ticket.


Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!


I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 920, while the number of individual stocks fell by 4,410. Yesterday's general increase turned into today's general decline. Remember the plot to lure more investors that I suggested on Wednesday, and it came true after a day. Time-sharing handicap was boring, and it was smashed at the opening, and it was normal to dive again at the end of the session.For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:

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